Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 3

Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK

Brentford Community Stadium

Brentford
3 - 1
Southampton

Mbeumo (43', 65'), Wissa (69')
Mbeumo (29'), Pinnock (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sugawara (90+4')
Harwood-Bellis (20')

The Match

Match Report

Sports Mole looks at the highlights, man of the match, and stats from Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Southampton.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Brentford
Wednesday, August 28 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Southampton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Cardiff 3-5 Southampton
Wednesday, August 28 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Southampton
29.48% ( 0.12)	23.28%	47.24% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 61.33% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.11% (

0.08)

39.89% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.75% (

0.08)

62.25% (

-0.07)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.05% (

0.12)

25.95% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.04% (

0.16)

60.96% (

-0.15)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.82% (

-0.01)

17.17% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.57% (

-0.03)

47.43% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Brentford 29.48%

Southampton 47.24%

Draw 23.27%

Brentford	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.01% 2-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 29.48%	1-1 @ 10.59% 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.27%	1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.41% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 4.07% Total : 47.24%