Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Brentford Community Stadium
  • Bryan Mbeumo 29' yellowcard
  • Bryan Mbeumo 43' goal
  • Bryan Mbeumo 65' goal
  • Yoane Wissa 69' goal
  • Ethan Pinnock 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Taylor Harwood-Bellis 20'
  • goal Yukinari Sugawara 90'+4'

Brentford vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions
Last game
Aug 25, 2024 4.30pm
Liverpool 2 - 0 Brentford
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Bryan Mbeumo

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
Southampton 0 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Paul Onuachu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result

Brentford 29.48% (+0.13)
Draw 23.28%
Southampton 47.24% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.33% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.11% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 39.89% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 37.75% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 62.25% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 20.36% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 79.63% (-0.06)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5 74.05% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 25.95% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 39.04% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 60.96% (-0.16)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 82.82% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 17.17% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 52.57% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 47.43% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Brentford 29.48%
Draw 23.27%
Southampton 47.24%
Brentford
2-1 @ 7.14% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 6.01%
2-0 @ 4.06% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.21% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.83% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.82% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.08% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 29.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.59%
2-2 @ 6.29% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.46% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.66% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.27%
Southampton
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 7.85% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 6.92% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 5.48% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.06% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.7% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.41% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.79% (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 47.24%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 7
Mar 15, 2023 7.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Ivan Toney 32'
  • goal Yoane Wissa 90'+7'
Premier League Gameweek 22
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Ben Mee 41' goal
  • Bryan Mbeumo 44' goal
  • Mathias Jensen 80' goal
Premier League Gameweek 36
May 7, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Pontus Jansson 13' goal
  • Yoane Wissa 14' goal
  • Kristoffer Ajer 79' goal
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Diallo 17'
Premier League Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2022 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Jan Bednarek 5' goal
  • Alvaro Fernandez 37' goal
  • Armando Broja 49' goal
  • Che Adams 70' goal
  • goal Vitaly Janelt 23'
  • yellowcard Ivan Toney 45'+2'
EFL Cup
Sep 16, 2020 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Alex McCarthy 8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dominic Thompson 12'
  • goal Christian Norgaard 40'
  • goal Josh Dasilva 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Henrik Dalsgaard 52'
  • yellowcard Charlie Goode 58'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 22, 2017 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lasse Vibe 40' goal
  • Josh Clarke 82' goal
  • goal Charlie Austin 53'
  • goal Charlie Austin 61'