/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwat.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbrelog.png)
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Moussa Sissoko
8'
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Kevin Schade
6'
Watford vs Brentford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F30%2Fthomas-frank.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
Result
Watford
44.4%
▼
(-0.69)
Draw
24.61%
▼
(-0.06)
Brentford
30.99%
▲
(+0.75)
Both Teams to Score:
57.51%
▲
(+0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.7%
▲
(+0.60)
Under 2.5
45.29%
▼
(-0.60)
Over 3.5
32.36%
▲
(+0.57)
Under 3.5
67.63%
▼
(-0.57)
Over 4.5
16.34%
▲
(+0.41)
Under 4.5
83.66%
▼
(-0.41)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5
79.5%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
20.49%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
47.02%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
52.98%
▲
(+0.09)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5
72.33%
▲
(+0.80)
Under 0.5
27.67%
▼
(-0.80)
Over 1.5
36.78%
▲
(+1.01)
Under 1.5
63.21%
▼
(-1.01)
Score analysis
Watford
44.4%
Draw
24.61%
Brentford
30.99%
Watford
2-1
@
9.15%
▼
(-0.07)
1-0 @ 8.99% ▼ (-0.25)
2-0 @ 7.12% ▼ (-0.21)
3-1 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 44.4%
1-0 @ 8.99% ▼ (-0.25)
2-0 @ 7.12% ▼ (-0.21)
3-1 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 44.4%
Draw
1-1
@
11.54%
▼
(-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.15)
3-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.61%
2-2 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.15)
3-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.61%
Brentford
1-2
@
7.42%
▲
(+0.13)
0-1 @ 7.29% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.09)
1-4 @ 1.02% ▼ (-94.98)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 30.99%
0-1 @ 7.29% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.09)
1-4 @ 1.02% ▼ (-94.98)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 30.99%
Ethan Pinnock
58'