/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fhiblog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwat.png)
-
Josh Campbell
16'
-
44'
-
Harry McKirdy
53'
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Imran Louza
30'
-
Rocco Vata
35'
-
Amin Nabizada
68'
Hibernian vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F15%2Ftom-cleverley.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 40%. A win for Watford had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result
Hibernian
40%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
24.7%
▲
(+0.02)
Watford
35.3%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
58.67%
▼
(-0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.59%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
44.41%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 3.5
33.22%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 3.5
66.78%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 4.5
16.95%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
83.05%
▲
(+0.05)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5
77.84%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
22.16%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
44.44%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
55.56%
▼
(-0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5
75.37%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
24.63%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
40.86%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
59.14%
▲
(+0.10)
Score analysis
Hibernian
40%
Draw
24.69%
Watford
35.3%
Hibernian
2-1
@
8.68%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.22% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 40%
1-0 @ 8.22% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 40%
Draw
1-1
@
11.52%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.69%
2-2 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.69%
Watford
1-2
@
8.08%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.36% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 35.3%
0-1 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.36% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 35.3%