Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 40%. A win for Watford had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Hibernian	Draw	Watford
40% ( 0.06)	24.7% ( 0.01)	35.3% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 58.67% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.59% (

-0.06)

44.41% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.22% (

-0.06)

66.78% (

0.06)

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.84% (

0.01)

22.16% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.44% (

0.01)

55.56% (

-0.01)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.37% (

-0.06)

24.63% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.86% (

-0.09)

59.14% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Hibernian 40%

Watford 35.3%

Draw 24.69%

Hibernian	Draw	Watford
2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 40%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.69%	1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.3%