Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 81.36%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 6.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.66%) and 1-2 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.59%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 2-1 (2.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.