Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Motherwell |
| 43.09% ( | 24.26% ( | 32.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.97% ( | 43.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.57% ( | 65.43% ( |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.86% ( | 20.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.59% ( | 52.41% ( |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.48% ( | 25.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.62% ( | 60.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Motherwell |
| 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 2-0 @ 6.6% ( 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 4-2 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 43.09% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 3-3 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0-2 @ 4.79% ( 1-3 @ 3.5% ( 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 2-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.64% |