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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 31
Mar 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
St Mirren logo

Motherwell
1 - 1
St Mirren

Bair (74')
Vale (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fraser (18')
Olusanya (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Motherwell 0-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 5-2 St Mirren
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Motherwell 2-1 St Mirren

With both teams losing before the international break, confidence will not necessarily be that high. However, with St Mirren conceding five at Kilmarnock, Motherwell will hold the greater belief of posting three points, leading us to back a narrow win for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
MotherwellDrawSt Mirren
40.44% (0.144 0.14) 25.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 33.86% (-0.145 -0.15)
Both teams to score 54.92% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)49.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.8% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)71.19% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98% (0.070999999999998 0.07)24.01% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.72% (0.104 0.1)58.27% (-0.11 -0.11)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.28% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)27.71% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.72% (-0.117 -0.12)63.27% (0.111 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 40.44%
    St Mirren 33.86%
    Draw 25.69%
MotherwellDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 9.49% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.69% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.77% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 40.44%
1-1 @ 12.18%
0-0 @ 6.66%
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 8.54% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.82% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.48% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.34% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 33.86%

Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
St Mirren
0-0
Motherwell
Baccus (73')
Spittal (40')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Motherwell
0-1
St Mirren
Tanser (55')
Fraser (20'), Taylor (43'), Baccus (63'), Strain (65'), Hemming (82')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Second Round
St Mirren
1-0
Motherwell
Boyd-Munce (9')
Mandron (80'), Dunne (90+3')

O'Donnell (53'), Mugabi (89'), McGinn (90+3')
Feb 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Motherwell
2-1
St Mirren
Van Veen (8'), Johnston (18')
Strain (24')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic000080265478
2RangersRangers000072234975
3Hearts101046341263
4Kilmarnock10104334952
5St Mirren00003843-543
6Dundee00004454-1041
Relegation Group
1Hibernian11004752-542
2Aberdeen11003649-1338
3Motherwell10014652-637
4St Johnstone10012549-2431
5Ross County10013258-2630
6Livingston11002459-3521
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718


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