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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 25
Feb 7, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
Dundee logo

St Mirren
2 - 0
Dundee

Mandron (73'), Olusanya (90+1')
Bolton (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Docherty (67'), Mulligan (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Dundee, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee 2-3 Hearts
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawDundee
38.39% (0.050000000000004 0.05)27.22% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)34.39% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.08% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.65% (0.010999999999996 0.01)55.35% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)76.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72% (0.033000000000001 0.03)28.01% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.35% (0.042000000000002 0.04)63.65% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.56% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)30.44% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.36% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)66.64% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 38.39%
    Dundee 34.38%
    Draw 27.21%
St MirrenDrawDundee
1-0 @ 10.85% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.21% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.91% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.49% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.93% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 38.39%
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 8.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.88%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.21%
0-1 @ 10.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 34.38%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Dundee

St Mirren
69.7%
Draw
12.1%
Dundee
18.2%
33
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Dundee
4-0
St Mirren
Bakayoko (16', 57'), Rudden (45+2' pen.), Robinson (85')
McGhee (76')

Baccus (88')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
St Mirren
2-1
Dundee
Shaughnessy (7' og.), Mandron (45+4')
Mandron (34'), Hemming (76')
Mulligan (63')
Tiffoney (87'), Beck (87'), Ashcroft (90+1')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Fourth Round
St Mirren
0-0
Dundee
St Mirren win 2-0 on penalties
May 7, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
St Mirren
2-0
Dundee
Greive (4'), Main (55')
Tait (35'), Kiltie (50'), Erhahon (63'), Gogic (89')

Sweeney (68')
Mar 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Dundee
0-1
St Mirren
Ronan (90+3')
Tait (51'), Ronan (90+4')