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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 22
Jan 2, 2024 at 5pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
Celtic logo

St Mirren
0 - 3
Celtic

FT(HT: 0-2)
Maeda (1'), O'Riley (6'), Taylor (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberdeen 0-3 St Mirren
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 2-1 Rangers
Saturday, December 30 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 61.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 0-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a St Mirren win it was 2-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Celtic in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Celtic.

Result
St MirrenDrawCeltic
18.05% (0.962 0.96)20.87% (0.587 0.59)61.07% (-1.552 -1.55)
Both teams to score 55.29% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.71% (-1.026 -1.03)41.28% (1.022 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.32% (-1.048 -1.05)63.68% (1.046 1.05)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.6% (0.485 0.48)36.4% (-0.488 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.81% (0.487 0.49)73.18% (-0.49000000000001 -0.49)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.94% (-0.764 -0.76)13.05% (0.761 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.36% (-1.573 -1.57)39.63% (1.57 1.57)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 18.05%
    Celtic 61.07%
    Draw 20.87%
St MirrenDrawCeltic
2-1 @ 4.94% (0.214 0.21)
1-0 @ 4.8% (0.279 0.28)
2-0 @ 2.43% (0.172 0.17)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.66% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 18.05%
1-1 @ 9.78% (0.298 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.03% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.75% (0.217 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.87%
1-2 @ 9.95% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.85% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-1 @ 9.68% (0.169 0.17)
1-3 @ 6.76% (-0.186 -0.19)
0-3 @ 6.68% (-0.276 -0.28)
1-4 @ 3.44% (-0.199 -0.2)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-4 @ 3.4% (-0.245 -0.25)
2-4 @ 1.74% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-5 @ 1.4% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-5 @ 1.39% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 61.07%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Celtic

St Mirren
4.7%
Draw
7.0%
Celtic
88.4%
43
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Celtic
2-1
St Mirren
Turnbull (18'), Oh (83')
Furuhashi (45+2'), Yang (64')
McMenamin (7')
Mandron (82'), Taylor (90+1')
May 20, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Celtic
2-2
St Mirren
Furuhashi (14'), McGregor (81')
Main (4', 39')
Mar 5, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 28
St Mirren
1-5
Celtic
O'Hara (6' pen.)
Jota (56'), Johnston (61'), Abada (70'), O'Riley (72'), Oh (81' pen.)
Feb 11, 2023 5.30pm
Fifth Round
Celtic
5-1
St Mirren
Maeda (16'), Hatate (76' pen., 90+5'), Oh (80'), O'Riley (90')
O'Hara (87' pen.)
Jan 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Celtic
4-0
St Mirren
Abada (15'), Furuhashi (35', 53'), Turnbull (86')