Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Ross County win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Ross County |
| 46.41% ( | 26.13% ( | 27.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.5% ( | 53.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.98% ( | 75.02% ( |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.98% ( | 23.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.16% ( | 56.84% ( |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.55% ( | 34.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.84% ( | 71.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Ross County |
| 1-0 @ 11.64% ( 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 2-0 @ 8.55% ( 3-1 @ 4.46% ( 3-0 @ 4.19% ( 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 4-0 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 46.4% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 2-2 @ 4.86% ( Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0-2 @ 4.5% ( 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0-3 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 27.45% |