Aberdeen logo
Celtic logo
Dundee logo
Dundee United
Falkirk
Hearts logo
Hibs logo
Kilmarnock logo
Livingston logo
Motherwell logo
Rangers logo
St Mirren logo
Potential new football header

Scottish Premiership

Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 19
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle Park
St Mirren logo

Hearts
2 - 0
St Mirren

Shankland (33', 49')
Atkinson (66'), Halkett (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gogic (2'), Tanser (22'), Boyd-Munce (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Last Game: Celtic 0-2 Hearts
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

St Mirren

All competitions
Last Game: St Mirren 0-0 Motherwell
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawSt Mirren
45.21% (0.175 0.17)24.58% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)30.21% (-0.15 -0.15)
Both teams to score 57.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.48% (0.048999999999999 0.05)45.52% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.15% (0.043999999999997 0.04)67.85% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.77% (0.093999999999994 0.09)20.23% (-0.096999999999998 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.44% (0.154 0.15)52.56% (-0.157 -0.16)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)28.29% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.98% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)64.01% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 45.21%
    St Mirren 30.21%
    Draw 24.57%
HeartsDrawSt Mirren
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.15% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.31% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.92% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.89% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 45.21%
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.57%
1-2 @ 7.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.23% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.56% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 30.21%

How you voted: Hearts vs St Mirren

Hearts
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
St Mirren
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
St Mirren
1-0
Hearts
Strain (7')
Baccus (24'), Olusanya (25')

Rowles (24')
> Preview
May 13, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
St Mirren
2-2
Hearts
Shaughnessy (36'), Strain (45+4')
Taylor (23'), Kiltie (29')
Ginnelly (73'), Shankland (90+6' pen.)
Rowles (17'), Naismith (18'), Devlin (44'), Atkinson (65'), Kiomourtzoglou (80')
Haring (77')
> Preview
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Hearts
0-2
St Mirren
Main (52'), Gogic (57')
> Preview
Jan 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Hearts
1-0
St Mirren
McKay (29')
> Preview
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
St Mirren
1-1
Hearts
Strain (4')
Snodgrass (49')
> Preview