Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 17

Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK

Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen
2 - 1
Hearts

Miovski (53'), Clarkson (90+2')
Gartenmann (59'), Miovski (65'), McGrath (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Shankland (20')
Nieuwenhof (33'), Lowry (41'), Baningime (64'), Kent (65'), Rowles (73'), Denholm (88'), Shankland (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Aberdeen 0-1 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Hearts 0-1 Rangers
Wednesday, December 6 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Aberdeen	Draw	Hearts
36.18% ( -0.16)	25.8% ( -0.05)	38.02% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 54.9% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.69% (

0.21)

49.31% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.63% (

0.19)

71.36% (

-0.19)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.58% (

0.01)

26.42% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.41% (

0.01)

61.58% (

-0.01)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.61% (

0.21)

25.38% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.81% (

0.29)

60.19% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Aberdeen 36.18%

Hearts 38.02%

Draw 25.79%

Aberdeen	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 36.18%	1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79%	0-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.56% Total : 38.02%