Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 49.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.