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Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21
Dec 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
St Mirren logo

Aberdeen
0 - 3
St Mirren


Devlin (25')
FT(HT: 0-1)
O'Hara (12'), Ayunga (78'), Kiltie (90+3' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-1 Livingston
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

St Mirren

All competitions
Last Game: St Mirren 0-1 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, December 27 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
AberdeenDrawSt Mirren
49.52% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)24.99% (-0.035 -0.04)25.49% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 52.32% (0.175 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.71% (0.199 0.2)50.29% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.76% (0.177 0.18)72.24% (-0.17699999999999 -0.18)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.67% (0.064999999999998 0.06)20.32% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.29% (0.104 0.1)52.71% (-0.101 -0.1)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.66% (0.16799999999999 0.17)34.33% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.96% (0.179 0.18)71.04% (-0.178 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 49.51%
    St Mirren 25.49%
    Draw 24.99%
AberdeenDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 11.11% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.86% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.7% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 2% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.87%
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 49.51%
1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.98% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.26% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 25.49%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs St Mirren

Aberdeen
70.0%
Draw
20.0%
St Mirren
10.0%
20
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
St Mirren
2-2
Aberdeen
Kiltie (59' pen.), Greive (76')
Strain (34'), Robinson (35'), Hemming (90+12')
Hayes (42'), Miovski (90+10' pen.)
Lopes (71'), Rubezic (88')
> Preview
May 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Aberdeen
3-0
St Mirren
Clarkson (14'), Shinnie (43', 49')

Gogic (59')
Small (30')
> Preview
Feb 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Aberdeen
1-3
St Mirren
Miovski (74' pen.)
Main (57', 81'), Gallagher (90')
> Preview
Dec 24, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 18
St Mirren
3-1
Aberdeen
Roos (38' og.), O'Hara (53' pen.), Kiltie (90+5')
Kennedy (9')
> Preview
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Aberdeen
4-1
St Mirren
Miovski (24' pen., 37'), Clarkson (45'), Lopes (87')
McCrorie (61')
Ayunga (53' pen.)
Gallagher (9'), Ayunga (48'), Kiltie (85')
Gallagher (23')
> Preview