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Celtic logo
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Kilmarnock logo
Livingston logo
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Aberdeen logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 12
Dec 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Livingston logo

Aberdeen
2 - 1
Livingston

Miovski (42', 65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Guthrie (28')
Devlin (45'), Penrice (65'), Pittman (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 1-0 Aberdeen
Sunday, December 17 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Livingston 0-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Aberdeen 2-1 Livingston

While the quick turnaround may not necessarily help Aberdeen in terms of energy, a chance to get back on track as soon as possible could do. With that in mind, we feel that the home side could edge this fixture by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aberdeen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.

Result
AberdeenDrawLivingston
48.7% (0.457 0.46) 25.43% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07) 25.87% (-0.389 -0.39)
Both teams to score 51.32% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.23% (0.011000000000003 0.01)51.77% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.46% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)73.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72% (0.202 0.2)21.27% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.8% (0.313 0.31)54.2% (-0.317 -0.32)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.18% (-0.31699999999999 -0.32)34.81% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.45% (-0.334 -0.33)71.54% (0.331 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 48.7%
    Livingston 25.87%
    Draw 25.43%
AberdeenDrawLivingston
1-0 @ 11.46% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.87% (0.105 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.58% (0.082 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.77% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 48.7%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.12% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 25.87%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Livingston

Aberdeen
60.0%
Draw
30.0%
Livingston
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Livingston
0-0
Aberdeen
Sangare (31'), Montano (50'), Devlin (81')
Rubezic (27'), Robson (28'), Clarkson (31'), Devlin (67'), Hayes (83')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Livingston
2-1
Aberdeen
Fitzwater (6'), Kelly (17' pen.)
Lopes (58' pen.)
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Aberdeen
5-0
Livingston
Miovski (41' pen., 63'), McCrorie (58'), Besuijen (62' pen.), Duncan (87')

Holt (37'), Cancar (61'), Montano (65'), Brandon (88')
Fitzwater (40')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Aberdeen
1-2
Livingston
Ferguson (90' pen.)
Hayes (28'), Ojo (35'), Besuijen (39'), McCrorie (52')
McCrorie (78')
Devlin (41'), Holt (70' pen.)
Stryjek (39'), Obileye (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic000080265478
2RangersRangers000072234975
3Hearts101046341263
4Kilmarnock10104334952
5St Mirren00003843-543
6Dundee00004454-1041
Relegation Group
1Hibernian11004752-542
2Aberdeen11003649-1338
3Motherwell10014652-637
4St Johnstone10012549-2431
5Ross County10013258-2630
6Livingston11002459-3521
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718


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