Scottish Premiership Gameweek 12
Dec 20, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Bojan Miovski 42' goal
  • Bojan Miovski 65' goal
  • goal Kurtis Guthrie 28'
  • yellowcard Michael Devlin 45'
  • yellowcard James Penrice 65'
  • yellowcard Scott Pittman 84'

Aberdeen vs Livingston - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 9, 2023 3.00pm
Aberdeen 2 - 1 Hearts
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Bojan Miovski

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
Livingston 0 - 0 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Bruce Anderson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aberdeen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.

Result

Aberdeen 48.7% (+0.46)
Draw 25.43% (-0.08)
Livingston 25.87% (-0.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.32% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.23% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 51.77% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 26.46% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 73.54% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 12.29% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.7% (-0.01)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5 78.72% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 21.27% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 45.8% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 54.2% (-0.32)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5 65.18% (-0.32)
Under 0.5 34.81% (+0.32)
Over 1.5 28.45% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 71.54% (+0.34)

Score analysis

Aberdeen 48.7%
Draw 25.43%
Livingston 25.87%
Aberdeen
1-0 @ 11.46% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.36% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.87% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 4.83% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.58% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.55% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.87% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.77% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 48.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.43%
Livingston
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 4.12% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 25.87%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Mo Sangare 31' yellowcard
  • Cristian Montano 50' yellowcard
  • Michael Devlin 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Slobodan Rubezic 27'
  • yellowcard Barry Robson 28'
  • yellowcard Leighton Clarkson 31'
  • yellowcard Nicky Devlin 67'
  • yellowcard Jonny Hayes 83'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 27
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Bojan Miovski 44' goal
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 15
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jack Fitzwater 6' goal
  • Sean Kelly 17' goal
  • goal Luis Lopes 58'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Bojan Miovski 41' goal
  • Ross McCrorie 58' goal
  • Vicente Besuijen 62' goal
  • Bojan Miovski 63' goal
  • Ryan Duncan 87' goal
  • yellowcard Jason Holt 37'
  • redcard Jack Fitzwater 40'
  • yellowcard Phillip Cancar 61'
  • yellowcard Cristian Montano 65'
  • yellowcard Jamie Brandon 88'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 1
Apr 23, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Jonny Hayes 28' yellowcard
  • Funso Ojo 35' yellowcard
  • Vicente Besuijen 39' yellowcard
  • Ross McCrorie 52' yellowcard
  • Ross McCrorie 78' redcard
  • Lewis Ferguson 90' goal
  • yellowcard Max Stryjek 39'
  • goal Nicky Devlin 41'
  • goal Jason Holt 70'
  • yellowcard Ayo Obileye 89'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 25
Feb 5, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ayo Obileye 8' goal
  • Cristian Montano 23' yellowcard
  • Jack Fitzwater 38' yellowcard
  • Stephane Omeonga 41' yellowcard
  • Adam Lewis 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Alan Forrest 49' goal
  • Alan Forrest 68' yellowcard
  • Scott Pittman 71' yellowcard
  • Max Stryjek 73' yellowcard
  • Cristian Montano 82' redcard
  • Jason Holt 90' yellowcard
  • goal Christian Ramirez 66'
  • yellowcard Jonny Hayes 71'
  • yellowcard Vicente Besuijen 82'
  • yellowcard Funso Ojo 87'
  • yellowcard Jack MacKenzie 90'+1'