Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aberdeen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.