Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 12

Dec 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen
2 - 1
Livingston

Miovski (42', 65')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Guthrie (28')
Devlin (45'), Penrice (65'), Pittman (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Rangers 1-0 Aberdeen
Sunday, December 17 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Livingston

All competitions

Last Game: Livingston 0-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aberdeen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.

Result
Aberdeen	Draw	Livingston
48.7% ( 0.46)	25.43% ( -0.07)	25.87% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 51.32% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.23% (

0.01)

51.77% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.46% (

0.01)

73.54% (

-0.01)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.72% (

0.2)

21.27% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.8% (

0.31)

54.2% (

-0.32)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.18% (

-0.32)

34.81% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.45% (

-0.33)

71.54% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Aberdeen 48.7%

Livingston 25.87%

Draw 25.43%

Aberdeen	Draw	Livingston
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 48.7%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.43%	0-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.12% Total : 25.87%