Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 36.63%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Dundee |
| 36.63% ( | 27.25% ( | 36.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.13% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.64% ( | 55.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.43% ( | 76.57% ( |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.96% ( | 29.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.05% ( | 64.95% ( |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.64% ( | 29.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.66% ( | 65.34% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Dundee |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% ( 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 2-0 @ 6.52% ( 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 4-1 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.63% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0-0 @ 8.53% ( 2-2 @ 4.9% ( Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 10.45% ( 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 2-3 @ 2% ( 1-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 36.12% |