Scottish Premiership Gameweek 21
Dec 30, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Fir Park
  • Blair Spittal 14' goal
  • Theo Bair 19' goal
  • Theo Bair 35' goal
  • Mika Biereth 45' yellowcard
  • Brodie Spencer 59' yellowcard
  • Bevis Mugabi 71' yellowcard
  • Callum Slattery 84' yellowcard
  • goal Scott Pittman 23'
  • yellowcard Michael Devlin 39'
  • yellowcard Jason Holt 43'
  • yellowcard Bruce Anderson 86'

Motherwell vs Livingston - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 24, 2023 12.00pm
Motherwell 0 - 2 Rangers
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Theo Bair

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 27, 2023 7.45pm
Livingston 0 - 0 St Johnstone
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Bruce Anderson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 48.76%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result

Motherwell 48.76% (-0.20)
Draw 24.61% (-0.16)
Livingston 26.63% (+0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.55% (+0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.16% (+0.92)
Under 2.5 47.84% (-0.91)
Over 3.5 29.98% (+0.84)
Under 3.5 70.02% (-0.83)
Over 4.5 14.66% (+0.58)
Under 4.5 85.34% (-0.57)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5 80.33% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 19.67% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 48.35% (+0.46)
Under 1.5 51.65% (-0.45)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5 67.9% (+0.77)
Under 0.5 32.1% (-0.76)
Over 1.5 31.43% (+0.86)
Under 1.5 68.57% (-0.86)

Score analysis

Motherwell 48.76%
Draw 24.61%
Livingston 26.63%
Motherwell
1-0 @ 10.26% (-0.31)
2-1 @ 9.49% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.35% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 5.14% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.92% (+0.09)
4-1 @ 2.09% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 48.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.31% (-0.25)
2-2 @ 5.39% (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.11% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.61%
Livingston
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.13)
1-2 @ 6.63% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 4.08% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.51% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.04% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.54% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 26.63%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Bruce Anderson 53' goal
  • Sean Kelly 62' goal
  • Jason Holt 90'+3' yellowcard
  • redcard Lennon Miller 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Brodie Spencer 69'
  • yellowcard Conor Wilkinson 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Dan Casey 90'+4'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 37
May 24, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tony Macaroni Arena
  • Andrew Shinnie 83' goal
  • goal Kevin van Veen 3'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 31
Apr 8, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Kevin van Veen 9' goal
  • Kevin van Veen 33' goal
  • Max Johnston 34' goal
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 20
Jan 2, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Morgan Boyes 39' goal
  • goal Kevin van Veen 42'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Josh Morris 61' yellowcard
  • Kevin van Veen 68' goal
  • yellowcard Dylan Bahamboula 74'
  • redcard Dylan Bahamboula 77'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 33
Apr 9, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Odin Bailey 26' goal
  • Alan Forrest 58' goal
  • Sean Kelly 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Callum Slattery 61'
  • goal Callum Slattery 72'
  • yellowcard Sondre Johansen 90'+2'
  • goal Ricki Lamie 90'+3'