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Potential new football header

Scottish Premiership

Motherwell logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21
Dec 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
Livingston logo

Motherwell
3 - 1
Livingston

Spittal (14'), Bair (19', 35')
Biereth (45'), Spencer (59'), Mugabi (71'), Slattery (84')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Pittman (23')
Devlin (39'), Holt (43'), Anderson (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Last Game: Motherwell 0-2 Rangers
Sunday, December 24 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Livingston

All competitions
Last Game: Livingston 0-0 St Johnstone
Wednesday, December 27 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 48.76%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawLivingston
48.76% (-0.193 -0.19)24.61% (-0.153 -0.15)26.63% (0.352 0.35)
Both teams to score 54.55% (0.80099999999999 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.16% (0.911 0.91)47.84% (-0.905 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.98% (0.834 0.83)70.02% (-0.82799999999999 -0.83)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.33% (0.283 0.28)19.67% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.35% (0.455 0.45)51.65% (-0.44799999999999 -0.45)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9% (0.765 0.77)32.1% (-0.759 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.43% (0.858 0.86)68.57% (-0.851 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 48.76%
    Livingston 26.63%
    Draw 24.61%
MotherwellDrawLivingston
1-0 @ 10.26% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.35% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 48.76%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.31% (-0.241 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.115 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 6.63% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.083 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.085 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 26.63%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Livingston

Motherwell
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Livingston
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Livingston
2-0
Motherwell
Anderson (53'), Kelly (62' pen.)
Holt (90+3')

Spencer (69'), Wilkinson (90+4'), Casey (90+4')
Miller (45+1')
> Preview
May 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Livingston
1-1
Motherwell
Shinnie (83')
Montano (69'), Devlin (89')
George (43')
Van Veen (3')
Goss (57')
> Preview
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Motherwell
3-0
Livingston
Van Veen (9', 33'), Johnston (34')
> Preview
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Livingston
1-1
Motherwell
Boyes (39')
Van Veen (42')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Motherwell
1-0
Livingston
Van Veen (68' pen.)
Morris (61')

Bahamboula (74')
Bahamboula (77')
> Preview