Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.