Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 22

Jan 2, 2024 at 3pm UK

Tony Macaroni Arena

Livingston
1 - 2
Hearts

Guthrie (9'), Shinnie (79' pen.)
Parkes (45+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vargas (53'), Shankland (64')
Nieuwenhof (42'), Shankland (45+4'), Kent (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Livingston and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions

Last Game: Motherwell 3-1 Livingston
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hearts

All competitions

Last Game: Hearts 2-2 Ross County
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Livingston	Draw	Hearts
28.69% ( 0.2)	27.56% ( -0.05)	43.74% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 47.1% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.8% (

0.27)

58.2% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.15% (

0.21)

78.85% (

-0.21)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.01% (

0.3)

35.99% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.23% (

0.31)

72.76% (

-0.31)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.58% (

0.04)

26.42% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.41% (

0.06)

61.58% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Livingston 28.69%

Hearts 43.74%

Draw 27.56%

Livingston	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.96% Total : 28.69%	1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.56%	0-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 43.74%