Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21

Dec 30, 2023 at 3pm UK

Tynecastle Park

Hearts
2 - 2
Ross County

Vargas (71'), Shankland (79')
Atkinson (41'), Forrest (51')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cochrane (55' og.), Dhanda (61')
Sims (81'), Leak (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Ross County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Last Game: Hibernian 0-1 Hearts
Wednesday, December 27 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ross County

All competitions

Last Game: Ross County 0-1 Dundee
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Ross County win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Ross County
44.94% ( 0.27)	24.55% ( -0.15)	30.51% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 57.47% (

0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.77% (

0.59)

45.23% (

-0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.42% (

0.57)

67.57% (

-0.57)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.77% (

0.36)

20.23% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.44% (

0.57)

52.56% (

-0.58)

Ross County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.04% (

0.21)

27.95% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.42% (

0.27)

63.58% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Hearts 44.94%

Ross County 30.51%

Draw 24.54%

Hearts	Draw	Ross County
2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.87% Total : 44.94%	1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.54%	1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 30.51%