Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.