/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fhealog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fdunlog.png)
-
Dexter Lembikisa
49'
-
Calem Nieuwenhof
57'
-
Dexter Lembikisa
74'
-
Yutaro Oda
86'
-
Jordan McGhee
19'
-
Lyall Cameron
38'
-
Jordan McGhee
41'
-
Dara Costelloe
45'+4'
-
Amadou Bakayoko
60'
-
Owen Dodgson
65'
-
Curtis Main
77'
-
Lee Ashcroft
79'
Hearts vs Dundee - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F44%2Fsteven-naismith.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result
Hearts
47.84%
▲
(+1.12)
Draw
24.33%
▲
(+0.08)
Dundee
27.83%
▼
(-1.19)
Both Teams to Score:
56.46%
▼
(-1.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.23%
▼
(-1.06)
Under 2.5
45.77%
▲
(+1.06)
Over 3.5
31.91%
▼
(-1.02)
Under 3.5
68.08%
▲
(+1.02)
Over 4.5
16.01%
▼
(-0.73)
Under 4.5
83.99%
▲
(+0.74)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5
80.78%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
19.22%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
49.08%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
50.92%
▼
(-0.07)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5
69.9%
▼
(-1.40)
Under 0.5
30.1%
▲
(+1.40)
Over 1.5
33.76%
▼
(-1.72)
Under 1.5
66.24%
▲
(+1.72)
Score analysis
Hearts
47.84%
Draw
24.32%
Dundee
27.83%
Hearts
1-0
@
9.54%
▲
(+0.44)
2-1 @ 9.45% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.37)
3-1 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.09)
4-2 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 47.84%
2-1 @ 9.45% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.37)
3-1 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.09)
4-2 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 47.84%
Draw
1-1
@
11.45%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.26)
2-2 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.18)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.32%
0-0 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.26)
2-2 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.18)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.32%
Dundee
0-1
@
6.95%
▲
(+0.05)
1-2 @ 6.88% ▼ (-0.22)
0-2 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.14)
1-3 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.20)
2-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.17)
0-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 27.83%
1-2 @ 6.88% ▼ (-0.22)
0-2 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.14)
1-3 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.20)
2-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.17)
0-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 27.83%
