Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 12

Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Tynecastle Park

Hearts
3 - 2
Dundee

Nieuwenhof (57'), Lembikisa (74'), Oda (86')
Lembikisa (49')

FT(HT: 0-2)

McGhee (19'), Cameron (38')
McGhee (41'), Costelloe (45+4'), Bakayoko (60'), Dodgson (65'), Main (77'), Ashcroft (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Dundee, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Spartans 1-2 Hearts
Saturday, January 20 at 12.15pm in Scottish Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dundee

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-0 Dundee
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Dundee
47.84% ( 1.12)	24.33% ( 0.07)	27.83% ( -1.19)

Both teams to score 56.46% (

-1.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.23% (

-1.06)

45.77% (

1.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.91% (

-1.01)

68.08% (

1.01)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.78% (

0.04)

19.22% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.08% (

0.07)

50.92% (

-0.07)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.9% (

-1.4)

30.1% (

1.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.76% (

-1.71)

66.24% (

1.71)

Score Analysis

Hearts 47.84%

Dundee 27.83%

Draw 24.32%

Hearts	Draw	Dundee
1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.15% Total : 47.84%	1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.32%	0-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.14% Total : 27.83%