Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Motherwell |
| 40.79% ( | 27.02% | 32.19% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.03% ( | 54.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.75% ( | 76.25% ( |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.51% | 26.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.32% | 61.68% ( |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.29% ( | 31.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.87% ( | 68.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% ( 2-1 @ 8.51% 2-0 @ 7.41% ( 3-1 @ 3.77% 3-0 @ 3.28% ( 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.15% Total : 40.78% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.4% ( 2-2 @ 4.89% ( Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 9.65% 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0-2 @ 5.54% ( 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 2-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.84% Total : 32.19% |