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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 25
Feb 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Fir Park
Ross County

Motherwell
5 - 0
Ross County

Halliday (8'), Spittal (21', 87'), Bair (38' pen.), Vale (90+1')
Butcher (65'), Miller (80')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Harmon (32'), Jenks (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Ross County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 51.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 24.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Ross County win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawRoss County
51.18% (-1.564 -1.56)24.67% (1.006 1.01)24.15% (0.562 0.56)
Both teams to score 51.99% (-2.55 -2.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.92% (-3.681 -3.68)50.08% (3.683 3.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.95% (-3.368 -3.37)72.05% (3.371 3.37)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.44% (-2.005 -2.01)19.56% (2.007 2.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.52% (-3.378 -3.38)51.48% (3.381 3.38)
Ross County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.63% (-1.519 -1.52)35.37% (1.522 1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.87% (-1.616 -1.62)72.13% (1.618 1.62)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 51.17%
    Ross County 24.15%
    Draw 24.67%
MotherwellDrawRoss County
1-0 @ 11.28% (0.95 0.95)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 9.21% (0.216 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.444 -0.44)
3-0 @ 5.01% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.355 -0.36)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.334 -0.33)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.226 -0.23)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.228 -0.23)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 51.17%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.54 0.54)
0-0 @ 6.92% (0.977 0.98)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.303 -0.3)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.168 -0.17)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.67%
0-1 @ 7.19% (0.755 0.76)
1-2 @ 6.1% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.74% (0.25 0.25)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2%
Total : 24.15%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Ross County

Motherwell
80.0%
Draw
14.3%
Ross County
5.7%
35
Head to Head
Dec 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Ross County
3-0
Motherwell
Murray (2'), Dhanda (18'), Purrington (56')
White (43'), Nightingale (88')
Nightingale (90+2')

Spittal (20'), Gent (69')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Motherwell
3-3
Ross County
Biereth (79' pen.), Wilkinson (88'), Ross (90+4')
Kettlewell (33'), Spencer (70'), Slattery (85')
Brophy (65'), Murray (73'), Loturi (83')
Allardice (32'), Loturi (33')
May 20, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Motherwell
1-0
Ross County
Van Veen (90+9' pen.)
Casey (57'), Aitchison (79'), Spittal (84')

Edwards (85')
Edwards (90+1')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Ross County
0-2
Motherwell
Van Veen (74', 88')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm