Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Ross County win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.