Greenock Morton
Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 9, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Cappielow Park
Motherwell logo

Morton
2 - 1
Motherwell

Paton (35' og.), Oakley (55')
Muirhead (37'), Strapp (48'), Power (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vale (85')
Mugabi (87'), Butcher (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Cup clash between Greenock Morton and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greenock Morton

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: Dunfermline 0-5 Morton
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: Motherwell 5-0 Ross County
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.

Result
Greenock MortonDrawMotherwell
48.79% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)25.04%26.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 52.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.02% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)49.97% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)71.96% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.5% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47% (0.00099999999999767 0)52.99%
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.39% (0.0040000000000049 0)33.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)70.25% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Greenock Morton 48.79%
    Motherwell 26.16%
    Draw 25.04%
Greenock MortonDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 10.91%
2-1 @ 9.43%
2-0 @ 8.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.98%
3-0 @ 4.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.97%
4-0 @ 1.81%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 48.79%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.1%
1-3 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 26.16%

How you voted: Morton vs Motherwell

Greenock Morton
16.0%
Draw
4.0%
Motherwell
80.0%
25
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Fourth Round
Motherwell
2-1
Morton
Van Veen (111' pen.), Donnelly (120+1')
Muirhead (105')
Brandon (26'), Blues (34'), Ledger (80'), Jacobs (103'), Lithgow (113')
Apr 16, 2021 7pm
Fourth Round
Motherwell
1-1
Morton
 Motherwell win 5-3 on penalties
O'Donnell (120+1')
Lamie (73')
Fjortoft (120+3')
Jacobs (36'), Fjortoft (120')
> Match Report
Jul 19, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Motherwell
4-0
Morton
James (22', 66'), Hylton (76'), Donnelly (82')
> Match Report
Jul 22, 2017 3pm
Group stage
Motherwell
4-0
Morton
Dunne (3'), Cadden (25'), Tait (67'), Moult (72')
Bigirimana (32')

Harkins (39')
Sep 22, 2015 7.45pm
Third Round
Morton
3-2
Motherwell
Samuel (11', 100'), Tidser (112')
Pepper (44'), Miller (76'), Kilday (108')
McDonald (90'), Moult (116')
Law (61'), Chalmers (61'), Moult (72')
rhs 2.0


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