Scottish Championship | Gameweek 22

Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK

Cappielow Park

Morton
3 - 0
Arbroath

Muirhead (63' pen.), Oakley (75'), Gillespie (82' pen.)
Power (34')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jacobs (25'), Stowe (29'), Bird (48'), Robinson (50')
Jacobs (28')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Greenock Morton and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greenock Morton

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Morton 2-0 Montrose
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Goals
for

Arbroath

All competitions

Last Game: Ayr 2-0 Arbroath
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 66.24%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 13.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.

Result
Greenock Morton	Draw	Arbroath
66.24% ( -0.56)	20.01% ( 0.28)	13.75% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 48.19% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.31% (

-0.61)

45.69% (

0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.98% (

-0.59)

68.01% (

0.58)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.08% (

-0.34)

12.91% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.65% (

-0.71)

39.35% (

0.71)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.34% (

0.04)

44.66% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.34% (

0.03)

80.66% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Greenock Morton 66.23%

Arbroath 13.75%

Draw 20.01%

Greenock Morton	Draw	Arbroath
2-0 @ 12.08% 1-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.94% Total : 66.23%	1-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 20.01%	0-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.31% Total : 13.75%