Scottish Championship | Gameweek 19

Jan 2, 2024 at 3pm UK

Cappielow Park

Morton
3 - 0
Ayr

Muirhead (35', 57', 59')
Gillespie (30'), Strapp (49')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Syla (90'), Amartey (90+1')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Greenock Morton and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greenock Morton

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Inverness 0-0 Morton
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Ayr 2-2 Dunfermline
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 22.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.

Result
Greenock Morton	Draw	Ayr United
53.69% ( 0.18)	23.55% ( -0.06)	22.76% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 53.89% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.23% (

0.13)

46.78% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.97% (

0.12)

69.04% (

-0.12)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.65% (

0.12)

17.35% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.27% (

0.2)

47.74% (

-0.2)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.2% (

-0.04)

34.8% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.46% (

-0.04)

71.54% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Greenock Morton 53.68%

Ayr United 22.76%

Draw 23.55%

Greenock Morton	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.76% Total : 53.68%	1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.55%	0-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 22.76%