Scottish Championship | Gameweek 16

Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
1 - 0
Airdrieonians

Dowds (15')
Smith (90+4'), Smith (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McCabe (37'), McCabe (37'), Frizzell (90+1'), Megwa (90+3')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Airdrieonians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-0 Ayr
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Airdrieonians

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-2 Dunfermline
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Airdrieonians
38.12% ( -0.1)	26.25% ( 0.08)	35.63% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 53.34% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.7% (

-0.34)

51.29% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.88% (

-0.29)

73.12% (

0.3)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.75% (

-0.21)

26.25% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.64% (

-0.28)

61.35% (

0.29)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.31% (

-0.15)

27.68% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.76% (

-0.19)

63.24% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 38.12%

Airdrieonians 35.63%

Draw 26.25%

Ayr United	Draw	Airdrieonians
1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.12%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 35.63%