Scottish Championship | Gameweek 10

Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
0 - 1
Morton

McKenzie (62'), Ahui (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Oakley (87')
Power (57'), Muirhead (60'), Wilson (61'), French (81')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Greenock Morton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Dunfermline 0-1 Ayr
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Greenock Morton

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Morton 4-1 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Greenock Morton
48.92% ( 0.33)	24.92% ( -0.01)	26.16% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 53.17% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.53% (

-0.2)

49.46% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.5% (

-0.18)

71.5% (

0.17)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.75% (

0.06)

20.25% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.41% (

0.09)

52.58% (

-0.1)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.66% (

-0.36)

33.33% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.04% (

-0.4)

69.95% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 48.91%

Greenock Morton 26.16%

Draw 24.92%

Ayr United	Draw	Greenock Morton
1-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 48.91%	1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.92%	0-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.39% Total : 26.16%