Scottish Championship Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT East End Park
  • goal Logan Chalmers 10'
  • yellowcard Elicha Ahui 90'+1'

Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
Partick 3 - 0 Dunfermline
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Craig Wighton

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
Airdrieonians 1 - 2 Ayr
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Anton Dowds

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result

Dunfermline Athletic 45.16% (+0.03)
Draw 26.13% (+0.21)
Ayr United 28.71% (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.31% (-0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.2% (-0.96)
Under 2.5 52.8% (+0.96)
Over 3.5 25.58% (-0.83)
Under 3.5 74.42% (+0.83)
Over 4.5 11.73% (-0.53)
Under 4.5 88.27% (+0.54)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 76.7% (-0.40)
Under 0.5 23.3% (+0.41)
Over 1.5 42.75% (-0.59)
Under 1.5 57.25% (+0.60)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 66.9% (-0.68)
Under 0.5 33.1% (+0.68)
Over 1.5 30.31% (-0.75)
Under 1.5 69.69% (+0.76)

Score analysis

Dunfermline Athletic 45.16%
Draw 26.13%
Ayr United 28.71%
Dunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 11.23% (+0.30)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.18% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.97% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.09)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 45.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.42% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 7.71% (+0.29)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.13%
Ayr United
0-1 @ 8.53% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 4.72% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 28.71%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 34
Apr 16, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Kevin O'Hara 37' yellowcard
  • Liam Polworth 68' yellowcard
  • Reece Cole 79' goal
  • Nikolay Todorov 86' goal
  • Dan Pybus 86' yellowcard
  • goal Aaron Muirhead 35'
  • yellowcard Aaron Muirhead 78'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 25
Feb 5, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Lewis Martin 17' goal
  • Sean McGinty 32' yellowcard
  • Ben Dempsey 39' yellowcard
  • Andy Murdoch 79' yellowcard
  • goal Coll Donaldson 10'
  • yellowcard Joe Chalmers 46'
  • yellowcard Dan Pybus 54'
  • yellowcard Coll Donaldson 68'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 15
Nov 20, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Lewis McCann 14' goal
  • Ryan Dow 40' goal
  • Lewis McCann 41' yellowcard
  • Lewis McCann 52' goal
  • yellowcard Markus Fjortoft 15'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 11, 2021 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Tomi Adeloye 3' goal
  • Cameron Salkeld 25' goal
  • Andy Murdoch 39' yellowcard
  • Tomi Adeloye 63' goal
  • Charlie Albinson 76' yellowcard
  • goal Nikolay Todorov 28'
  • yellowcard Ross Graham 78'
  • yellowcard Nikolay Todorov 90'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 24
Apr 10, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Michael Miller 24' goal
  • goal Declan McManus 12'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 14
Jan 23, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT