Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Rangers Under-21s had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.24%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest Rangers Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.