Scottish Championship Gameweek 13
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
  • Max Anderson 27' yellowcard
  • David Wotherspoon 32' goal
  • David Wotherspoon 43' goal
  • Billy Mckay 45'+3' goal
  • Adam Brooks 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie Murphy 61'

Inverness Caledonian Thistle vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
Dundee Utd 1 - 1 Inverness
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Billy Mckay

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
Ayr 2 - 2 Queen's Park
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Anton Dowds

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.

Result

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 38.03% (+0.02)
Draw 25.78% (-0.06)
Ayr United 36.18% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.96% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.76% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 49.24% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 28.7% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 71.29% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 13.78% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 86.21% (-0.14)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 74.65% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 25.34% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 39.87% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 60.13% (-0.16)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 73.61% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 26.38% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 38.46% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 61.54% (-0.18)

Score analysis

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 38.03%
Draw 25.77%
Ayr United 36.18%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 9.18% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.39% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.3% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.84% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.88% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.56% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.32% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 38.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.59% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.77%
Ayr United
0-1 @ 8.91% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 8.15% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.94% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.62% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.64% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.48% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.21% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 36.18%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Francis Amartey 8' goal
  • Paul Smith 74' yellowcard
  • Nick McAllister 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zak Delaney 28'
  • yellowcard Luis Longstaff 45'+1'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 36
May 5, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Nathan Shaw 81' goal
  • goal Josh Mullin 35'
  • goal Mark McKenzie 88'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 27
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Dipo Akinyemi 12' goal
  • goal Sean Welsh 19'
  • goal Jay Henderson 74'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 16
Nov 19, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nathan Shaw 6' goal
  • Nathan Shaw 87' goal
  • goal Mark McKenzie 66'
  • goal Dipo Akinyemi 82'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Cameron Harper 47'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 33
Apr 9, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Fraser Bryden 54' goal
  • Paul Smith 73' yellowcard
  • Markus Fjortoft 76' goal
  • goal Shane Sutherland 6'
  • goal Logan Chalmers 13'