Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%).