Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 48.26%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 25.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 48.26% ( | 26% ( | 25.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.92% ( | 54.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.5% ( | 75.5% ( |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.57% ( | 22.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.05% ( | 55.95% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.83% ( | 36.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.05% ( | 72.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 12.12% ( 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 2-0 @ 9.06% ( 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 3-0 @ 4.52% ( 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 4-0 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 3% Total : 48.25% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 2-2 @ 4.69% ( Other @ 0.87% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 1-2 @ 6.27% ( 0-2 @ 4.19% ( 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0-3 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 1.89% Total : 25.74% |