Scottish Championship | Gameweek 11

Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

East End Park

Dunfermline
1 - 1
Inverness

McCann (87')
Chalmers (45'), Hamilton (45+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Devine (43')
Gilmour (45+2'), Harper (45+3'), Duffy (74')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Dunfermline Athletic and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Dunfermline 1-2 Dundee Utd
Friday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions

Last Game: Inverness 3-1 Ayr
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
43.15% ( -0.42)	25.52% ( 0.32)	31.32% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 54.61% (

-1.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.85% (

-1.36)

49.15% (

1.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.78% (

-1.24)

71.21% (

1.23)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.31% (

-0.78)

22.69% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.65% (

-1.16)

56.34% (

1.16)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.63% (

-0.62)

29.36% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.65% (

-0.76)

65.34% (

0.76)

Score Analysis

Dunfermline Athletic 43.15%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 31.32%

Draw 25.51%

Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.15%	1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.32%