Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 51.54%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Greenock Morton in this match.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
51.54% ( -1.29) | 23.3% ( -0.06) | 25.16% ( 1.36) |
Both teams to score 57.51% ( 1.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.72% ( 1.58) | 43.28% ( -1.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.32% ( 1.54) | 65.68% ( -1.54) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.15% ( 0.11) | 16.85% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.14% ( 0.2) | 46.86% ( -0.19) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.16% ( 1.98) | 30.84% ( -1.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.89% ( 2.27) | 67.12% ( -2.27) |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.62) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.52) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.29) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 51.54% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.37) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.3% | 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.89% Total : 25.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
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