Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 51.54%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Greenock Morton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 51.54% ( | 23.3% ( | 25.16% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.72% ( | 43.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.32% ( | 65.68% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.15% ( | 16.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.14% ( | 46.86% ( |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.16% ( | 30.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.89% ( | 67.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 1-0 @ 9.25% ( 2-0 @ 8.24% ( 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 3-0 @ 4.89% ( 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 4-0 @ 2.18% ( 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 5-1 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.16% Total : 51.54% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 3-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.3% | 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0-2 @ 3.6% ( 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 25.16% |