Scottish Championship | Gameweek 16

Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK

Cappielow Park

Morton
1 - 0
Queen's Park

Muirhead (8')
Crawford (25'), Broadfoot (45+4'), French (45+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Thomson (36')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Greenock Morton and Queen's Park.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greenock Morton

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Morton 2-1 Inverness
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Queen's Park

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Queen's Park 1-4 Inverness
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Queen's Park had a probability of 19.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 1-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Queen's Park win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.

Result
Greenock Morton	Draw	Queen's Park
59.37% ( 0.26)	21.29% ( -0.08)	19.34% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 56.26% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.85% (

0.12)

41.15% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.45% (

0.12)

63.54% (

-0.12)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.48% (

0.12)

13.52% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.43% (

0.24)

40.57% (

-0.23)

Queen's Park Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.06% (

-0.11)

34.94% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.32% (

-0.12)

71.68% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Greenock Morton 59.37%

Queen's Park 19.34%

Draw 21.29%

Greenock Morton	Draw	Queen's Park
2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.28% Total : 59.37%	1-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.29%	1-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 19.34%