Scottish Championship | Gameweek 17

Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stark's Park

Raith Rovers
4 - 4
Ayr

Stanton (30'), Vaughan (45', 81' pen., 90+1')
Byrne (58')

FT(HT: 2-1)

McGeady (29'), Dempsey (55'), Chalmers (63'), Rose (85')
McGinty (43')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Raith Rovers and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Raith Rovers

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Dundee Utd 0-1 Raith Rovers
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Ayr 1-0 Airdrieonians
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Raith Rovers	Draw	Ayr United
50.16% ( -0.12)	23.9% ( 0)	25.93% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 56.24% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.69% (

0.08)

45.31% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.35% (

0.08)

67.65% (

-0.08)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.87% (

-0.02)

18.12% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.92% (

-0.03)

49.08% (

0.03)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.69% (

0.13)

31.3% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.34% (

0.16)

67.66% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Raith Rovers 50.16%

Ayr United 25.93%

Draw 23.9%

Raith Rovers	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 3.52% Total : 50.16%	1-1 @ 11.25% 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.9%	0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 25.93%