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Arbroath
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Greenock Morton
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ross County
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Arbroath
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 9
Dec 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Gayfield Park
Raith Rovers

Arbroath
1 - 2
Raith Rovers

Hylton (30' pen.)
Jacobs (51'), Slater (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Connolly (19'), Vaughan (90+5')
Byrne (87'), Millen (90+6')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Raith Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last Game: Arbroath 1-2 Morton
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last Game: Raith Rovers 4-3 Partick
Friday, December 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
ArbroathDrawRaith Rovers
32.66% (-1.79 -1.79)25.01% (-0.2 -0.2)42.33% (1.995 2)
Both teams to score 56.86% (0.18 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.55% (0.457 0.46)46.45% (-0.453 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.27% (0.429 0.43)68.73% (-0.425 -0.42)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.84% (-0.86800000000001 -0.87)27.17% (0.873 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.43% (-1.146 -1.15)62.57% (1.152 1.15)
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08% (1.168 1.17)21.93% (-1.162 -1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81% (1.741 1.74)55.2% (-1.737 -1.74)
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 32.66%
    Raith Rovers 42.33%
    Draw 25%
ArbroathDrawRaith Rovers
1-0 @ 7.76% (-0.348 -0.35)
2-1 @ 7.68% (-0.265 -0.27)
2-0 @ 5.06% (-0.359 -0.36)
3-1 @ 3.33% (-0.202 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.2% (-0.215 -0.22)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 32.66%
1-1 @ 11.77% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.96% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 9.04% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.94% (0.226 0.23)
0-2 @ 6.86% (0.337 0.34)
1-3 @ 4.52% (0.264 0.26)
0-3 @ 3.47% (0.282 0.28)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.103 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.72% (0.155 0.16)
0-4 @ 1.32% (0.148 0.15)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 42.33%

How you voted: Arbroath vs Raith Rovers

Arbroath
16.7%
Draw
0.0%
Raith Rovers
83.3%
6
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Raith Rovers
1-1
Arbroath
Brown (3')
O'Brien (48')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Arbroath
1-2
Raith Rovers
McKenna (20')
Brown (70'), McBride (77')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Raith Rovers
1-1
Arbroath
Little (6')
Hamilton (45')
Oct 19, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Arbroath
0-1
Raith Rovers
Stanton (41')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 31
Arbroath
3-3
Raith Rovers
Hamilton (1'), Hilson (67'), McKenna (70')
Little (36'), O'Brien (53'), Hamilton (61'), Hilson (75')
Poplatnik (31'), Connolly (48'), Varian (65')
Tumilty (60')