Scottish Championship | Gameweek 8

Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

East End Park

Dunfermline
3 - 0
Arbroath

Edwards (48'), Wighton (73', 90')
O'Halloran (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

O'Brien (38')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Dunfermline Athletic and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Dunfermline 1-1 Inverness
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Arbroath

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: New Saints 4-1 Arbroath
Saturday, November 18 at 2.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result
Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Arbroath
47.98% ( -1.92)	24.67% ( 0.61)	27.35% ( 1.31)

Both teams to score 54.97% (

-0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.43% (

-1.65)

47.57% (

1.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.23% (

-1.54)

69.77% (

1.55)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.12% (

-1.42)

19.88% (

1.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.01% (

-2.35)

51.99% (

2.35)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.61% (

0.16)

31.39% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.24% (

0.18)

67.77% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Dunfermline Athletic 47.98%

Arbroath 27.35%

Draw 24.67%

Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Arbroath
1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.9% Total : 47.98%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.67%	0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.82% Total : 27.35%