Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
47.98% ( -1.92) | 24.67% ( 0.61) | 27.35% ( 1.31) |
Both teams to score 54.97% ( -0.85) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.43% ( -1.65) | 47.57% ( 1.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.23% ( -1.54) | 69.77% ( 1.55) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.12% ( -1.42) | 19.88% ( 1.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.01% ( -2.35) | 51.99% ( 2.35) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.61% ( 0.16) | 31.39% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.24% ( 0.18) | 67.77% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.9% Total : 47.98% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.82% Total : 27.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 69 | 22 | 47 | 72 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 66 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 44 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 43 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 39 |
10 | Arbroath | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 35 | 84 | -49 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |