Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm

3

0

HT : 0 0

FT East End Park

Josh Edwards 48'
Craig Wighton 73'
Michael O'Halloran 81'
Craig Wighton 90'

Thomas O'Brien 38'

Dunfermline Athletic vs Arbroath - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions

D
L
W
L
L
L

Scottish Championship

D
L
W
L
L
L

Last game

Nov 18, 2023 3.00pm

Dunfermline 1 - 1 Inverness

Goals scored

43

Top scorer

Craig Wighton

Arbroath

All competitions

L
L
L
L
W
L

Scottish Championship

L
L
L
L
W
W

Last game

Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm

Airdrieonians 2 - 0 Arbroath

Goals scored

35

Top scorer

Jay Bird

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result

Dunfermline Athletic 47.98% ▼ (-1.92)

Draw 24.67% ▲ (+0.61)

Arbroath 27.35% ▲ (+1.32)

Both Teams to Score:

54.97% ▼ (-0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.43% ▼ (-1.65)

Under 2.5 47.57% ▲ (+1.66)

Over 3.5 30.23% ▼ (-1.54)

Under 3.5 69.77% ▲ (+1.55)

Over 4.5 14.83% ▼ (-1.08)

Under 4.5 85.17% ▲ (+1.09)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 80.12% ▼ (-1.42)

Under 0.5 19.88% ▲ (+1.43)

Over 1.5 48.01% ▼ (-2.35)

Under 1.5 51.99% ▲ (+2.36)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5 68.61% ▲ (+0.16)

Under 0.5 31.39% ▼ (-0.16)

Over 1.5 32.24% ▲ (+0.19)

Under 1.5 67.77% ▼ (-0.18)

Score analysis

Dunfermline Athletic 47.98%

Draw 24.67%

Arbroath 27.35%

Dunfermline Athletic

1-0 @ 10.08% ▲ (+0.25)

2-1 @ 9.44% ▼ (-0.16)

2-0 @ 8.14% ▼ (-0.17)

3-1 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.33)

3-0 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.30)

3-2 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.18)

4-1 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.23)

4-0 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.21)

4-2 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.13)

Other @ 2.9%

Total : 47.98%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.68% ▲ (+0.34)

0-0 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.42)

2-2 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.07)

3-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.07)

Other @ 0.14%

Total : 24.67%

Arbroath

0-1 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.52)

1-2 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.22)

0-2 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.32)

1-3 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.10)

2-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.02)

0-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.13)

Other @ 2.82%

Total : 27.35%

Head to Head

Dec 9, 2022 7.45pm

1

5

HT : 0 4

FT Gayfield Park

Thomas O'Brien 74'

Kyle MacDonald 6'
Matty Todd 19'
Kyle Benedictus 22'
Matty Todd 36'
Craig Wighton 68'

Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT

David Gold 9'
Thomas O'Brien 73'
Michael McKenna 87'

Dan Pybus 29'

Dec 26, 2021 3.00pm

0

3

HT : 0 2

FT

Mark Connolly 56'
Lewis McCann 57'
Owain Fon Williams 82'

Rhys Breen 6' (OG)
Michael McKenna 45'
Chris Hamilton 49'
Anton Dowds 81'

Oct 30, 2021 3.00pm

4

2

HT : 2 2

FT

Thomas O'Brien 15'
Michael McKenna 37'
Michael McKenna 51'
Bobby Linn 77'
Dale Hilson 78'
Michael McKenna 85'

Kevin O'Hara 8'
Kevin O'Hara 12'
77'

Aug 28, 2021 3.00pm

0

3

HT : 0 2

FT

Dan Pybus 26'

Michael McKenna 12'
David Gold 44'
Scott Stewart 54'
Michael McKenna 67'

Apr 24, 2021 3.00pm

4

3

HT : 2 2

FT

Declan McManus 10'
Kevin O'Hara 15'
Ewan Henderson 34'
Craig Wighton 57'
Steven Whittaker 61'
Craig Wighton 75'

Jack Hamilton 33'
Nicky Low 35'
Ricky Little 52'
Scott Stewart 82'

Form Data

Dunfermline 1 - 1 Inverness

Dunfermline 1 - 2 Dundee Utd

Morton 1 - 2 Dunfermline

Raith Rovers 1 - 0 Dunfermline

Dunfermline 0 - 1 Ayr

Partick 3 - 0 Dunfermline

New Saints 4 - 1 Arbroath

Airdrieonians 2 - 0 Arbroath

Arbroath 1 - 3 Partick

Dundee Utd 6 - 0 Arbroath

QotS 1 - 2 Arbroath

Arbroath 2 - 3 Inverness