Dec 30, 2023 3.00pm

2

2

HT : 1 2

FT Somerset Park

Aiden McGeady 41'
Frankie Musonda 63'
Elicha Ahui 90'

Alex Jakubiak 3'
Alex Jakubiak 9'
Craig Wighton 62'
Josh Edwards 86'

Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

D
W
L
L
D
D

Scottish Championship

D
W
L
L
D
D

Last game

Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm

Raith Rovers 4 - 4 Ayr

Goals scored

53

Top scorer

Anton Dowds

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions

D
L
W
W
D
L

Scottish Championship

D
L
W
W
D
L

Last game

Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm

Arbroath 1 - 1 Dunfermline

Goals scored

43

Top scorer

Craig Wighton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Ayr United 40.31% ▼ (-0.60)

Draw 25.94% ▼ (-0.04)

Dunfermline Athletic 33.75% ▲ (+0.63)

Both Teams to Score:

54.04% ▲ (+0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.74% ▲ (+0.30)

Under 2.5 50.25% ▼ (-0.30)

Over 3.5 27.79% ▲ (+0.26)

Under 3.5 72.21% ▼ (-0.27)

Over 4.5 13.17% ▲ (+0.18)

Under 4.5 86.82% ▼ (-0.18)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 75.4% ▼ (-0.18)

Under 0.5 24.59% ▲ (+0.18)

Over 1.5 40.91% ▼ (-0.26)

Under 1.5 59.09% ▲ (+0.25)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 71.66% ▲ (+0.55)

Under 0.5 28.34% ▼ (-0.55)

Over 1.5 35.93% ▲ (+0.69)

Under 1.5 64.07% ▼ (-0.69)

Score analysis

Ayr United 40.31%

Draw 25.94%

Dunfermline Athletic 33.75%

Ayr United

1-0 @ 9.78% ▼ (-0.17)

2-1 @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.07)

2-0 @ 6.86% ▼ (-0.16)

3-1 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.05)

3-0 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.09)

3-2 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.01)

4-1 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.03)

4-0 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.04)

Other @ 2.7%

Total : 40.31%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.32% ▼ (-0.02)

0-0 @ 6.97% ▼ (-0.09)

2-2 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.05)

3-3 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 0.13%

Total : 25.94%

Dunfermline Athletic

0-1 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.03)

1-2 @ 7.77% ▲ (+0.11)

0-2 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.11)

1-3 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.10)

0-3 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.08)

2-3 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.06)

1-4 @ 1.03% ▼ (-97.57)

Other @ 2.73%

Total : 33.75%

Head to Head

Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT East End Park

Logan Chalmers 10'
Elicha Ahui 90'+1'

Apr 16, 2022 3.00pm

2

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Kevin O'Hara 37'
Liam Polworth 68'
Reece Cole 79'
Nikolay Todorov 86'
Dan Pybus 86'

Aaron Muirhead 35'
Aaron Muirhead 78'

Feb 5, 2022 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT

Lewis Martin 17'
Sean McGinty 32'
Ben Dempsey 39'
Andy Murdoch 79'

Coll Donaldson 10'
Joe Chalmers 46'
Dan Pybus 54'
Coll Donaldson 68'

Nov 20, 2021 3.00pm

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT

Lewis McCann 14'
Ryan Dow 40'
Lewis McCann 41'
Lewis McCann 52'

Markus Fjortoft 15'

Sep 11, 2021 3.00pm

3

1

HT : 2 1

FT

Tomi Adeloye 3'
Cameron Salkeld 25'
Andy Murdoch 39'
Tomi Adeloye 63'
Charlie Albinson 76'

Nikolay Todorov 28'
Ross Graham 78'
Nikolay Todorov 90'

Apr 10, 2021 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT

Michael Miller 24'

Declan McManus 12'

Form Data

Raith Rovers 4 - 4 Ayr

Ayr 1 - 0 Airdrieonians

Dundee Utd 1 - 0 Ayr

Inverness 3 - 1 Ayr

Ayr 2 - 2 Queen's Park

Partick 2 - 2 Ayr

Arbroath 1 - 1 Dunfermline

Dunfermline 1 - 2 Partick

Airdrieonians 1 - 2 Dunfermline

Dunfermline 3 - 0 Arbroath

Dunfermline 1 - 1 Inverness

Dunfermline 1 - 2 Dundee Utd