Greenock Morton
Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Cappielow Park
Montrose

Morton
2 - 0
Montrose

Gillespie (10' pen.), Oakley (51')
Blues (83'), Strapp (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Greenock Morton and Montrose.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morton 1-1 Partick
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Montrose 0-1 Stirling
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 61.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 17.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Montrose win it was 1-2 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.

Result
Greenock MortonDrawMontrose
61.25%20.86%17.89%
Both teams to score 55.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.5%41.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.11%63.89%
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.93%13.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.33%39.67%
Montrose Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.29%36.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.5%73.5%
Score Analysis
    Greenock Morton 61.25%
    Montrose 17.89%
    Draw 20.86%
Greenock MortonDrawMontrose
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.93%
1-0 @ 9.76%
3-1 @ 6.75%
3-0 @ 6.74%
4-1 @ 3.44%
4-0 @ 3.43%
3-2 @ 3.38%
4-2 @ 1.72%
5-1 @ 1.4%
5-0 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 61.25%
1-1 @ 9.78%
2-2 @ 4.99%
0-0 @ 4.8%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.86%
1-2 @ 4.9%
0-1 @ 4.81%
0-2 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 1.67%
1-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 17.89%

Head to Head
Oct 9, 2021 1.30pm
Third Round
Montrose
0-0
Morton
Morton win 4-2 on penalties
Lyons (40'), Waddell (77')
McGrattan (43'), Blues (81')
May 11, 2021 7.45pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Morton
3-1
Montrose
Oliver (5'), Salkeld (19'), McGuffie (120')
McGinn (26'), McLean (33'), Salkeld (120+2')
McLean (35')
Rennie (23'), McLean (33'), Waddell (90+3'), Johnston (108')
May 8, 2021 3pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Montrose
2-1
Morton
McLean (57'), Webster (77')
Oliver (5')
Strapp (13')