Scottish Championship Gameweek 14
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Ben Dempsey 74' goal
  • Logan Chalmers 77' goal
  • Roy Syla 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyle Robinson 42'
  • yellowcard Colin Hamilton 55'
  • yellowcard Keaghan Jacobs 63'
  • yellowcard Scott Stewart 63'

Ayr United vs Arbroath - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Jan 13, 2024 3.00pm
Arbroath 0 - 0 Ayr
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Anton Dowds

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Jan 13, 2024 3.00pm
Arbroath 0 - 0 Ayr
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Jay Bird

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 59.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result

Ayr United 59.21% (+5.11)
Draw 22.19% (-1.58)
Arbroath 18.6% (-3.53)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.92% (-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.73% (+2.12)
Under 2.5 46.27% (-2.11)
Over 3.5 31.44% (+1.97)
Under 3.5 68.56% (-1.96)
Over 4.5 15.68% (+1.37)
Under 4.5 84.32% (-1.37)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 84.74% (+2.54)
Under 0.5 15.26% (-2.53)
Over 1.5 56.05% (+4.56)
Under 1.5 43.95% (-4.55)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5 61.27% (-2.44)
Under 0.5 38.73% (+2.45)
Over 1.5 24.53% (-2.39)
Under 1.5 75.47% (+2.40)

Score analysis

Ayr United 59.21%
Draw 22.18%
Arbroath 18.6%
Ayr United
1-0 @ 11.11% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 10.44% (+0.82)
2-1 @ 9.91% (+0.16)
3-0 @ 6.54% (+1.01)
3-1 @ 6.21% (+0.60)
4-0 @ 3.08% (+0.69)
3-2 @ 2.94% (+0.10)
4-1 @ 2.92% (+0.50)
4-2 @ 1.38% (+0.16)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-81.45)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-82.61)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 59.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.53% (-0.76)
0-0 @ 5.91% (-0.55)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.25)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 22.18%
Arbroath
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.94)
1-2 @ 5% (-0.73)
0-2 @ 2.66% (-0.66)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.36)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.19)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 18.6%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 21
Jan 13, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Gayfield Park
  • Leighton McIntosh 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paddy Reading 41'
  • yellowcard Jack Young 88'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Gayfield Park
  • Jay Bird 21' goal
  • Thomas O'Brien 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Jermaine Hylton 71' yellowcard
  • Ricky Little 75' yellowcard
  • Jermaine Hylton 82' goal
  • yellowcard Nick McAllister 26'
  • goal Ahkeem Rose 45'+3'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 31
Mar 31, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dale Hilson 27' goal
  • David Gold 60' goal
Scottish Championship Gameweek 22
Jan 14, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ben Dempsey 38' goal
  • Sean McGinty 76' goal
  • goal Sean Adarkwa 57'
  • goal Yasin Ben El-Mhanni 63'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 13
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Ben Dempsey 70'
  • goal Jayden Mitchell-Lawson 89'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 1
Jul 30, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Somerset Park
  • yellowcard Kieran Shanks 28'
  • yellowcard Keaghan Jacobs 37'
  • yellowcard James Craigen 58'
  • yellowcard Michael McKenna 66'
  • redcard Thomas O'Brien 81'
  • yellowcard Mason Hancock 90'+2'