Scottish Championship | Gameweek 14

Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
2 - 0
Arbroath

Dempsey (74'), Chalmers (77')
Syla (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Robinson (42'), Hamilton (55'), Jacobs (63'), Stewart (63')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Ayr 3-0 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Arbroath

All competitions

Last Game: Arbroath 0-0 Ayr
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 59.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Arbroath
59.21% ( 5.11)	22.19% ( -1.58)	18.6% ( -3.52)

Both teams to score 51.92% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.73% (

2.11)

46.27% (

-2.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.44% (

1.96)

68.56% (

-1.95)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.74% (

2.53)

15.26% (

-2.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.05% (

4.55)

43.95% (

-4.55)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.27% (

-2.44)

38.73% (

2.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.53% (

-2.39)

75.47% (

2.4)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 59.21%

Arbroath 18.6%

Draw 22.18%

Ayr United	Draw	Arbroath
1-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.82) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 6.54% ( 1.01) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.59) 4-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.69) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.49) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.16) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.33) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.26) Other @ 2.42% Total : 59.21%	1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.76) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.54) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.18%	0-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.94) 1-2 @ 5% ( -0.73) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.66) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.27% Total : 18.6%