Scottish Championship | Gameweek 20

Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
1 - 3
Inverness

Chalmers (65')
Chalmers (54'), Young (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mckay (29'), Boyes (55', 63')
Duffy (38'), Welsh (50'), Shaw (80')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Morton 3-0 Ayr
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions

Last Game: Airdrieonians 2-0 Inverness
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
42.94% ( 0.01)	26.13% ( 0)	30.94% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 52.49% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.18% (

-0.01)

51.82% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.42% (

-0.01)

73.58% (

0.01)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.04% (

23.96% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.81% (

58.19% (

-0.01)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.03% (

-0.01)

30.97% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.72% (

-0.02)

67.28% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 42.93%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 30.94%

Draw 26.12%

Ayr United	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 42.93%	1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.12%	0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 30.94%