Scottish Championship Gameweek 19
Jan 2, 2024 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Gayfield Park
  • Jay Bird 28' yellowcard
  • goal Louis Moult 38'
  • yellowcard Kai Fotheringham 45'+1'
  • goal Glenn Middleton 48'
  • goal Louis Moult 53'
  • yellowcard Kevin Holt 89'

Arbroath vs Dundee United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Dec 30, 2023 3.00pm
Raith Rovers 2 - 2 Arbroath
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Jay Bird

Dundee United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Dundee Utd 3 - 0 Partick
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Louis Moult

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 18.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for an Arbroath win it was 1-0 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.

Result

Arbroath 18.37% (-0.12)
Draw 21.5% (+0.10)
Dundee United 60.13% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.75% (-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.38% (-0.62)
Under 2.5 43.62% (+0.63)
Over 3.5 33.99% (-0.62)
Under 3.5 66.01% (+0.62)
Over 4.5 17.52% (-0.46)
Under 4.5 82.48% (+0.46)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5 62.57% (-0.49)
Under 0.5 37.43% (+0.49)
Over 1.5 25.78% (-0.49)
Under 1.5 74.22% (+0.49)

Dundee United Goals

Over 0.5 85.91% (-0.20)
Under 0.5 14.09% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 58.3% (-0.39)
Under 1.5 41.7% (+0.39)

Score analysis

Arbroath 18.37%
Draw 21.5%
Dundee United 60.12%
Arbroath
1-0 @ 5.18% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 4.99% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 2.55% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.63% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 18.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.15% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 5.27% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.5%
Dundee United
0-1 @ 10.33% (+0.20)
0-2 @ 10.12% (+0.13)
1-2 @ 9.95% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.62% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 6.5% (-0.05)
0-4 @ 3.24% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.07)
1-4 @ 3.19% (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.57% (-0.05)
0-5 @ 1.27% (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.25% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 60.12%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 10
Oct 27, 2023 7.45pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT Tannadice Park
  • Louis Moult 7' goal
  • Ross Docherty 14' goal
  • Kai Fotheringham 43' goal
  • Tony Watt 57' goal
  • Louis Moult 61' goal
  • Mathew Cudjoe 87' goal
  • yellowcard David Gold 33'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 4, 2023 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 4
FT Gayfield Park
  • Craig Slater 23' yellowcard
  • Scott Stewart 48' yellowcard
  • goal Glenn Middleton 11'
  • goal Mathew Cudjoe 25'
  • goal Craig Sibbald 37'
  • goal Louis Moult 45'+1'
Scottish League Cup
Jul 17, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tannadice Park
  • Charlie Mulgrew 21' goal
  • Charlie Mulgrew 77' yellowcard
Scottish Championship Gameweek 31
Mar 27, 2020 7.05pm
Gayfield Park
Scottish Championship Gameweek 23
Feb 1, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tannadice Park
  • Peter Pawlett 74' yellowcard
  • goal Craig Wighton 26'
  • yellowcard Colin Hamilton 40'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 17
Dec 14, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Omar Kader 39' yellowcard
  • Derek Gaston 54' yellowcard
  • Ricky Little 74' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Stanton 6'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Shankland 87'