Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 18.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for an Arbroath win it was 1-0 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Dundee United |
18.37% ( -0.11) | 21.5% ( 0.1) | 60.13% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.75% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.38% ( -0.62) | 43.62% ( 0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.99% ( -0.61) | 66.01% ( 0.61) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.57% ( -0.49) | 37.43% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.78% ( -0.48) | 74.22% ( 0.49) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.91% ( -0.2) | 14.09% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.3% ( -0.39) | 41.7% ( 0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Dundee United |
1-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.55% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.42% Total : 18.37% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.5% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 10.12% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 9.95% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.62% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.5% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 3.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 3.19% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.89% Total : 60.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 69 | 22 | 47 | 72 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 66 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 44 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 43 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 39 |
10 | Arbroath | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 35 | 84 | -49 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |