Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 43.51% ( | 25.83% ( | 30.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.32% ( | 50.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.41% ( | 72.59% ( |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.82% ( | 23.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.93% ( | 57.07% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.42% ( | 30.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.18% ( | 66.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 10.36% ( 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 2-0 @ 7.58% ( 3-1 @ 4.37% ( 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 4-2 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 43.5% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 3-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0-3 @ 1.97% ( Other @ 3.08% Total : 30.67% |