Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 64.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 16.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 1-2 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dundee United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
64.38% ( 0.51) | 19.58% ( -0.22) | 16.04% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 55.45% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61% ( 0.45) | 38.99% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.69% ( 0.47) | 61.31% ( -0.47) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.56% ( 0.27) | 11.44% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.76% ( 0.58) | 36.23% ( -0.58) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.61% ( -0.09) | 37.38% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.83% ( -0.08) | 74.16% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.13% Total : 64.38% | 1-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.58% | 1-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.21% Total : 16.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 69 | 22 | 47 | 72 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 66 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 44 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 43 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 39 |
10 | Arbroath | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 35 | 84 | -49 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |