Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 34.73% ( | 25.6% ( | 39.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.4% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.41% ( | 48.59% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.29% ( | 70.71% ( |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.07% ( | 26.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.74% ( | 62.26% ( |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% ( | 24.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.49% ( | 58.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 2-0 @ 5.6% ( 3-1 @ 3.48% ( 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 3-0 @ 2.45% ( 4-1 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 3.09% Total : 34.73% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 3-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( 1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0-2 @ 6.56% ( 1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0-3 @ 3.11% ( 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0-4 @ 1.1% ( 2-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.91% Total : 39.67% |