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Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 20
Feb 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Motherwell logo

Aberdeen
3 - 3
Motherwell

Lopes (31', 50'), Gartenmann (37')
MacDonald (83'), Shinnie (90')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Bair (5' pen., 22'), Devine (26')
Nicholson (61'), McGinn (87'), Butcher (90+4'), Kelly (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-0 Bonnyrigg Rose
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Morton 2-1 Motherwell
Friday, February 9 at 7.30pm in Scottish Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
AberdeenDrawMotherwell
45.21% (5.945 5.95)25.62% (-0.947 -0.95)29.18% (-4.996 -5)
Both teams to score 53.19% (1.078 1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.52% (2.278 2.28)50.48% (-2.275 -2.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.59% (1.982 1.98)72.41% (-1.979 -1.98)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7% (3.999 4)22.3% (-3.996 -4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.24% (5.661 5.66)55.76% (-5.659 -5.66)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (-2.25 -2.25)31.55% (2.252 2.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.06% (-2.679 -2.68)67.94% (2.681 2.68)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 45.2%
    Motherwell 29.18%
    Draw 25.61%
AberdeenDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 10.55% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.7 0.7)
2-0 @ 7.92% (1.049 1.05)
3-1 @ 4.57% (0.815 0.82)
3-0 @ 3.96% (0.902 0.9)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.33 0.33)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.46 0.46)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.465 0.47)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.22 0.22)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 45.2%
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.46 -0.46)
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.669 -0.67)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 8.11% (-1.343 -1.34)
1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.73 -0.73)
0-2 @ 4.68% (-1.124 -1.12)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.472 -0.47)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.576 -0.58)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 29.18%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Motherwell

Aberdeen
78.2%
Draw
11.5%
Motherwell
10.3%
78
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Motherwell
2-4
Aberdeen
Bair (78'), Biereth (90+3')
Butcher (51'), Wilkinson (52'), Spencer (54'), Biereth (59'), Kelly (69'), Zdravkovski (90+4')
McGrath (26', 68'), Devlin (44'), Lopes (74')
Roos (86')
> Preview
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Aberdeen
3-1
Motherwell
Lopes (42'), Miovski (64', 69')
Van Veen (75' pen.)
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Motherwell
1-2
Aberdeen
McKinstry (55')
Miovski (4'), Lopes (68')
> Preview
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Aberdeen
2-3
Motherwell
Miovski (42'), Hayes (47')
MacKenzie (90+6')
Spittal (20'), Slattery (52'), Van Veen (55')
Slattery (35'), Morris (85')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Motherwell
1-1
Aberdeen
O'Hara (68')
Shields (31'), Mugabi (45+4'), Donnelly (52'), Lamie (90+2')
Besuijen (34')
McCrorie (3'), Gallagher (45+4'), Ferguson (83')
> Preview