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Scottish Premiership
Aberdeen logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 20
Feb 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Motherwell logo

Aberdeen
3 - 3
Motherwell

Lopes (31', 50'), Gartenmann (37')
MacDonald (83'), Shinnie (90')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Bair (5' pen., 22'), Devine (26')
Nicholson (61'), McGinn (87'), Butcher (90+4'), Kelly (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-0 Bonnyrigg Rose
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Morton 2-1 Motherwell
Friday, February 9 at 7.30pm in Scottish Cup

We said: Aberdeen 2-1 Motherwell

 Motherwell have been lethargic in front of goal recently, but we can see them finding the back of the net here. We are also backing Aberdeen to come away with maximum points come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
AberdeenDrawMotherwell
45.21% (5.945 5.95) 25.62% (-0.947 -0.95) 29.18% (-4.996 -5)
Both teams to score 53.19% (1.078 1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.52% (2.278 2.28)50.48% (-2.275 -2.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.59% (1.982 1.98)72.41% (-1.979 -1.98)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7% (3.999 4)22.3% (-3.996 -4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.24% (5.661 5.66)55.76% (-5.659 -5.66)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (-2.25 -2.25)31.55% (2.252 2.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.06% (-2.679 -2.68)67.94% (2.681 2.68)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 45.2%
    Motherwell 29.18%
    Draw 25.61%
AberdeenDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 10.55% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.7 0.7)
2-0 @ 7.92% (1.049 1.05)
3-1 @ 4.57% (0.815 0.82)
3-0 @ 3.96% (0.902 0.9)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.33 0.33)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.46 0.46)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.465 0.47)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.22 0.22)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 45.2%
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.46 -0.46)
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.669 -0.67)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 8.11% (-1.343 -1.34)
1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.73 -0.73)
0-2 @ 4.68% (-1.124 -1.12)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.472 -0.47)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.576 -0.58)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 29.18%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Motherwell

Aberdeen
78.2%
Draw
11.5%
Motherwell
10.3%
78
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Motherwell
2-4
Aberdeen
Bair (78'), Biereth (90+3')
Butcher (51'), Wilkinson (52'), Spencer (54'), Biereth (59'), Kelly (69'), Zdravkovski (90+4')
McGrath (26', 68'), Devlin (44'), Lopes (74')
Roos (86')
> Preview
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Aberdeen
3-1
Motherwell
Lopes (42'), Miovski (64', 69')
Van Veen (75' pen.)
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Motherwell
1-2
Aberdeen
McKinstry (55')
Miovski (4'), Lopes (68')
> Preview
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Aberdeen
2-3
Motherwell
Miovski (42'), Hayes (47')
MacKenzie (90+6')
Spittal (20'), Slattery (52'), Van Veen (55')
Slattery (35'), Morris (85')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Motherwell
1-1
Aberdeen
O'Hara (68')
Shields (31'), Mugabi (45+4'), Donnelly (52'), Lamie (90+2')
Besuijen (34')
McCrorie (3'), Gallagher (45+4'), Ferguson (83')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic110082275581
2RangersRangers110074245078
3Hearts101046341263
4Kilmarnock10104334952
5St Mirren10013945-643
6Dundee10014556-1141
Relegation Group
1Hibernian11004752-542
2Aberdeen11003649-1338
3Motherwell10014652-637
4St Johnstone10012549-2431
5Ross County10013258-2630
6Livingston11002459-3521
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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