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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 18
Jan 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
McDiarmid Park
Aberdeen logo

St Johnstone
1 - 1
Aberdeen

Carey (49', 49'), Keltjens (78')
Smith (61'), Keltjens (90+6'), Carey (90+2'), Gordon (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Miovski (62' pen., 62' pen.)
Rubezic (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Johnstone and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawAberdeen
29.9% (0.27 0.27)25.46% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)44.64% (-0.212 -0.21)
Both teams to score 54.09% (0.313 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.5% (0.34 0.34)49.5% (-0.334 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.46% (0.303 0.3)71.54% (-0.297 -0.3)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.48% (0.36500000000001 0.37)30.52% (-0.358 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.26% (0.429 0.43)66.74% (-0.422 -0.42)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.86% (0.047999999999988 0.05)22.14% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.47% (0.067999999999998 0.07)55.53% (-0.061 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 29.9%
    Aberdeen 44.64%
    Draw 25.46%
St JohnstoneDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 8.02% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.18% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.76% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.84% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.88% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 29.9%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 10.19% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 9.12% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.68% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.86% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 44.64%

How you voted: St Johnstone vs Aberdeen

St Johnstone
16.7%
Draw
20.0%
Aberdeen
63.3%
30
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Aberdeen
0-0
St Johnstone
Wright (76'), Robinson (81')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
St Johnstone
0-1
Aberdeen
Matthews (30' og.)
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Aberdeen
2-0
St Johnstone
Lopes (74', 84')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
St Johnstone
0-1
Aberdeen

Considine (19'), Hallberg (40'), Phillips (43'), Carey (49'), Brown (88')
Clarkson (56')
May 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
St Johnstone
1-0
Aberdeen
Hendry (17')
Hendry (24'), McCart (39'), Davidson (55'), Gordon (68'), Rooney (77')

Bates (45'), Ferguson (87')